The Loaf: Week 10 College Football Picks

Sports Section Chair: Michael Brown

Welcome back to The Loaf! We’re back at it again for Week 10 after a 4-4 week to get us to 30-30-1 on the season. I’m not too upset at a .500 week after I’d had a string of losing weeks in a row prior to this one.

But we strive for greatness. And it’s time to get back on track. I have 6 picks this week across 5 games:

First up is a principle service academy under: Army @ Air Force (UNDER 45.5). I don’t have too much to say about this one. It’s a game between two troops teams. Take the under. Air Force 24, Army 14

trrops.jpg

Air Troops vs Troops. Always an exciting battle. Photo Credit: Military.com

Next up is a showdown between Bowling Green (-5) and Akron. Admittedly, I don’t know much about either of these teams, other than that Bowling Green is really bad, and that Akron is even worse. I just struggle not picking a team who’s laying less than a touchdown against the Zips in 2019. This is asinine. Bowling Green 31, Akron 14

bowling green

Bowling Green actually took it to Toledo earlier this season which was pretty cool for the Falcons. Photo Credit: The Toledo Blade

This week’s slate is pretty bad, but we’ve got a good one when it comes to the Cocktail Party. Give me #8 Georgia (-4) vs #6 Florida. This number has now risen to a touchdown in favor of the Dawgs, and with good reason. Georgia is the superior team in this matchup, and it’s going to show on the scoreboard. UGA has one of the best defenses in the country, one that is sure to stifle an average Gators offensive attack. If there’s any reason to be scared about this, it’s because of Georgia’s lackluster effort on offense the past couple games against South Carolina and Kentucky. But I wouldn’t fret. When UGA is playing to its full capability (and it will be), it’s tough to stop. Expect a big day from Jake Fromm. Georgia 35, Florida 17

georgia

Georgia’s defense has a serious argument for best in the nation. So good. Photo Credit: CBS Sports

I kinda feel bad about this one. Next up is Tennessee (-12.5) vs UAB. If you remember all the way back to my preseason edition of The Loaf, you’ll remember I picked UAB to go 13-0, win the C-UUUUSA, and find itself in the Cotton Bowl. I specifically mentioned that they’d beat Tennessee too. Well, I’ve since changed my mind. The Blazers aren’t bad; they’re 6-1. But they aren’t as good as I expected. They’ve been pretty good against some horrifically bad competition thus far. Plus, Tennessee isn’t as bad as people think. They hung with Georgia for almost a half, they just handled the team that beat Georgia, they hung around in Tuscaloosa for a while, and, suddenly, that loss to a now-resurgent Georgia State team seems a lot longer than 2 months ago. The Vols are pretty good, and desperately need this one in order to potentially reach bowl eligibility. If they really want this game, and they should, they have no reason to win by any less than two touchdowns, based on talent discrepancy alone. Tennessee 38, UAB 13

tennessee

2019 Tennessee: not actually that bad! Photo Credit: Knoxville News Sentinel

            We’re gonna finish with the second-biggest game of the week, the host of College Gameday this week: #24 Memphis (-3.5) vs #15 SMU (OVER 68.5). In terms of the over, that isn’t too terribly surprising, I imagine. Both of these teams have dynamic offenses, aaaaand…some not-so-dynamic defenses, I guess you could say. The over is a combined 12-3 in these teams’ last 15 games. In

memphis

Not at all a fan of the Bengals-style helmets Memphis has had the last few seasons. Photo Credit: Underdog Dynasty

terms of the spread, I don’t want to discount what SMU has done this season. Because it’s been good. But it hasn’t been elite. It hasn’t been UCF. Or Western Michigan. Or Boise State. Those teams incited fear in their fellow Group-of-5 opponents. SMU doesn’t seem to possess that. So when you have them go into a hostile environment during prime-time, on Saturday Night Football, against a worthy opponent, I have a hard time trusting them. That’s why Memphis is favored. And I just think they should be favored by more than they are. Memphis is going to score so many points in this game, the crowd will be loud, and I think things could unravel a bit for the Ponies. Memphis 49, SMU 28

 

            That’s all I’ve got for this week’s The Loaf! Let the bread flow this weekend.

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